West Virginia (8-9, 1-3) has lost three straight and four of five, returning home to take on TCU (9-9, 0-5) in a game both teams need to win in order to keep their postseason hopes alive.
The game is set to be shown to a national audience on ESPN2 at 7:30PM ET.
Here are three keys to a Mountaineer victory today.
1. Make 35% or more on threes - I mentioned it in this afternoon's piece, but this year's team is the worst shooting three-point team in West Virginia history. The correlation between three-point field goal percentage and winning percentage over the last two decades is strong, but why 35%? The Mountaineers are 13-4 in the last two seasons when they shoot over 35%. And three of those four losses came down to the last possession, with WVU losing by two (Iowa State, 2013), one (Kansas State, 2013) and two (Baylor, 2011).
2. Win the rebounding battle by 8 or more - TCU is not a very good rebounding team, averaging only 32.4 per game, which ranks 273rd in the nation. On the other hand, West Virginia pulls down 38.4 boards a night, good for 49th. With neither team capable of putting the ball in the bucket regularly (TCU is shooting 41.9% and WVU, 39.1%), there will be plenty of battles under the basket tonight.
3. Control Kyan Anderson - The Horned Frogs' guard is the key to the team's success. In TCU's nine wins, he shoots 57% from the floor and averages 15 points per game. In their nine losses, he shoots less than 28% from the floor and averages eight points per game. If West Virginia's perimeter players can corral Anderson, their chances of victory will improve greatly.
Whether you're at the game or watching from the comfort of your own home, join your fellow Mountaineer fans in discussing the game below!